Geelong Air Quality Forecast - Today, Tomorrow
Air Quality Today
Today (11 October): Air quality in Geelong is good. AQI, PM2.5, PM10, NO2, O3, SO2, CO, HCHO, and PM1 are good. Pollution peaks around 11:00 AM (PM2.5: 15.5/100).
Air Quality Tomorrow
Tomorrow (12 October 2026): Air quality in Geelong is good. All pollutants stay as today. Pollution peaks around 5:00 PM (PM2.5: 17.3/100).
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Air Quality
Today - 11 October
| Pollutant | Level | Value |
|---|---|---|
| AQI | Good | 15.5/100 |
| PM2.5 (fine particles) | Good | 15.5/100 |
| PM10 (coarse particles) | Good | 11.8/100 |
| NO2 (nitrogen dioxide) | Good | 5.9/100 |
| O3 (ozone) | Good | 10.9/100 |
| SO2 (sulfur dioxide) | Good | 0.6/100 |
| CO (carbon monoxide) | Good | 0.3/100 |
| HCHO (formaldehyde) | Good | 2.5/100 |
| PM1 (ultrafine particles) | Good | 1.9/100 |
Tomorrow - 12 October
| Pollutant | Level | Value |
|---|---|---|
| AQI | Good | 17.3/100 |
| PM2.5 (fine particles) | Good | 17.3/100 |
| PM10 (coarse particles) | Good | 12.9/100 |
| NO2 (nitrogen dioxide) | Good | 4.3/100 |
| O3 (ozone) | Good | 10.7/100 |
| SO2 (sulfur dioxide) | Good | 0.5/100 |
| CO (carbon monoxide) | Good | 0.3/100 |
| HCHO (formaldehyde) | Good | 1.9/100 |
| PM1 (ultrafine particles) | Good | 2.1/100 |
Local Environmental Conditions
With buildings covering much of the area around the heart of Geelong, traffic and other urban emissions are the biggest local influence on air quality. Its position by the Corio Bay brings breezes that often clear pollutants away. Port and shipping activity and manufacturing add to local emissions. On some days, pollution drifting in from farther away outweighs local sources.
Summer sun in January cooks traffic fumes into ozone, especially in the warmest month, which averages 20°C. Later, particle levels tend to be highest from June to August, when home heating and traffic add more emissions and cold, calm spells at around 9°C can leave a light winter haze over the city. Overall, breezy weather in September, with winds near 20 km/h, tends to sweep pollution away.
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Frequently Asked Questions About Air Quality in Victoria
Is air quality bad in Geelong right now?
On 11 October 2026, overall air quality in Geelong is good. AQI is the main air quality indicator at 15.5/100. Pollution peaks around 11:00 AM (PM2.5: 15.5/100).
Will air quality be worse tomorrow in Geelong?
On 12 October 2026, air quality conditions in Geelong will be similar to today, with AQI forecast at good at 17.3/100. Pollution peaks around 5:00 PM (PM2.5: 17.3/100).
When is air pollution at its worst in Geelong?
Summer sun in January cooks traffic fumes into ozone, especially in the warmest month, which averages 20°C. Later, particle levels tend to be highest from June to August, when home heating and traffic add more emissions and cold, calm spells at around 9°C can leave a light winter haze over the city. Overall, breezy weather in September, with winds near 20 km/h, tends to sweep pollution away.
Are air quality levels in Geelong based on measurements or forecasts?
It is forecasts derived by downscaling forecasts provided by EU’s Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) by taking into account local conditions such as traffic patterns. CAMS bases its forecast on satellite measurements of particles and chemical compounds in the atmosphere. Airmine’s services were developed with support from the European Space Agency (ESA)’s Business Applications and Space Solutions (BASS) team.
Why doesn’t the forecast always reflect wildfire impacts?
Airmine’s forecast uses CAMS (Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service) as its background atmospheric model. While CAMS includes wildfire emissions, these are derived from satellite observations and are not available in real time. During rapidly evolving wildfire events, there may therefore be a delay before increased emissions are incorporated into the model. As a result, the forecast may temporarily underestimate PM₂.₅ and other pollutants associated with wildfire smoke.
During rapidly evolving wildfire events, CAMS may lag by approximately 1–2 days before increased wildfire emissions are fully represented, which can lead to temporary underestimation of PM₂.₅ concentrations in Airmine’s forecast.
Understanding the Scale
The 0–100 air quality scores represent risk levels, not direct air pollutant concentrations. Higher scores indicate higher risk.
Air Quality
| Good | 0-20 | Low air quality risk. Air quality is expected to be good, with low levels of pollution. |
| Fair | 20-40 | Generally low air quality risk. Air quality is expected to be acceptable, with some pollution present. |
| Moderate | 40-60 | Moderate air quality risk. Air pollution is elevated and air quality may be less favorable. |
| Poor | 60-80 | High air quality risk. Air pollution is high and air quality is expected to be poor. |
| Very Poor | 80-100 | Very high air quality risk. Air pollution is very high and air quality is expected to be very poor. |