Worst air pollution Frankston, today and tomorrow

On 10 August 2026, overall air quality in Frankston is good. AQI is the main air quality indicator at 14.0/100. Pollution peaks around 3:00 PM (NO2: 14.0/100).

On 11 August 2026, air quality conditions in Frankston will be similar to today, with AQI forecast at good at 14.3/100. Pollution peaks around 12:00 PM (O3: 14.3/100).

Air quality in Frankston dips most noticeably during summer bushfire events, when smoke can drift across Port Phillip Bay or down from Gippsland on the wrong wind direction, sometimes overwhelming the usual bay breeze. Calm winter nights bring a smaller wood-smoke effect in residential pockets. Most days, however, the bayside location keeps pollution levels low and conditions pleasant for outdoor activity.

It is forecasts derived by downscaling forecasts provided by EU’s Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) by taking into account local conditions such as traffic patterns. CAMS bases its forecast on satellite measurements of particles and chemical compounds in the atmosphere. Airmine’s services were developed with support from the European Space Agency (ESA)’s Business Applications and Space Solutions (BASS) team.

Airmine’s forecast uses CAMS (Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service) as its background atmospheric model. While CAMS includes wildfire emissions, these are derived from satellite observations and are not available in real time. During rapidly evolving wildfire events, there may therefore be a delay before increased emissions are incorporated into the model. As a result, the forecast may temporarily underestimate PM₂.₅ and other pollutants associated with wildfire smoke.

During rapidly evolving wildfire events, CAMS may lag by approximately 1–2 days before increased wildfire emissions are fully represented, which can lead to temporary underestimation of PM₂.₅ concentrations in Airmine’s forecast.