Worst air pollution Surprise, today and tomorrow

Today (9 August): Air quality in Surprise is fair. AQI and O3 are fair; PM2.5, PM10, NO2, SO2, CO, HCHO, and PM1 are good. Pollution peaks around 4:00 AM (O3: 23.9/100).
Tomorrow (10 August 2026): Air quality in Surprise is fair. All pollutants stay as today. Pollution peaks around 10:00 AM (O3: 22.5/100). Airmine updates local air quality forecasts four times daily.

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Developed with support from the European Space Agency (ESA)’s Business Applications and Space Solutions (BASS) team

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Surprise's air quality reflects the Phoenix metropolitan area's Valley of the Sun enclosed basin, with vehicle emissions from the Loop 303 and Grand Avenue (US-60) and the rapidly expanding suburban development in the northwest Phoenix corridor contributing elevated NOₓ. Windblown Sonoran Desert dust from the surrounding open desert areas contributes PM10 during haboob events, while summer ozone from the vast metropolitan traffic and intense desert heat are the primary recurring air quality concerns throughout the year.

Today - 9 August | Pollution peaks at 04:00

AQI:

Fair

23.9/100

PM2.5 (fine particles):

Good

10.6/100

PM10 (coarse particles):

Good

11.5/100

NO2 (nitrogen dioxide):

Good

0/100

O3 (ozone):

Fair

23.9/100

SO2 (sulfur dioxide):

Good

0/100

CO (carbon monoxide):

Good

0/100

HCHO (formaldehyde):

Good

1.2/100

PM1 (ultrafine particles):

Good

4.2/100

Levels show the poorest local air quality during the day

Tomorrow - 10 August | Pollution peaks at 10:00

AQI:

Fair

22.5/100

PM2.5 (fine particles):

Good

10.3/100

PM10 (coarse particles):

Good

10.8/100

NO2 (nitrogen dioxide):

Good

0/100

O3 (ozone):

Fair

22.5/100

SO2 (sulfur dioxide):

Good

0/100

CO (carbon monoxide):

Good

0/100

HCHO (formaldehyde):

Good

1.9/100

PM1 (ultrafine particles):

Good

4.8/100

Pollen forecast in Surprise

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Frequently Asked Questions

Is air quality bad in Surprise right now?

On 9 August 2026, overall air quality in Surprise is fair. AQI is the main air quality indicator at 23.9/100. Pollution peaks around 4:00 AM (O3: 23.9/100).

Will air quality be worse tomorrow in Surprise?

On 10 August 2026, air quality conditions in Surprise will be similar to today, with AQI forecast at fair at 22.5/100. Pollution peaks around 10:00 AM (O3: 22.5/100).

When is air pollution at its worst in Surprise?

Surprise follows a fairly predictable seasonal air quality pattern — winter is generally the cleanest season, with cooler temperatures and less dust in the air, whereas spring dust storms and summer ozone together make March through September the toughest stretch. Monsoon storms in July and August can either clear the air with rain or stir up dust ahead of the storm front.

Are air quality levels in Surprise based on measurements or forecasts?

It is forecasts derived by downscaling forecasts provided by EU’s Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) by taking into account local conditions such as traffic patterns. CAMS bases its forecast on satellite measurements of particles and chemical compounds in the atmosphere. Airmine’s services were developed with support from the European Space Agency (ESA)’s Business Applications and Space Solutions (BASS) team.

Why doesn’t the forecast always reflect wildfire impacts?

Airmine’s forecast uses CAMS (Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service) as its background atmospheric model. While CAMS includes wildfire emissions, these are derived from satellite observations and are not available in real time. During rapidly evolving wildfire events, there may therefore be a delay before increased emissions are incorporated into the model. As a result, the forecast may temporarily underestimate PM₂.₅ and other pollutants associated with wildfire smoke.

During rapidly evolving wildfire events, CAMS may lag by approximately 1–2 days before increased wildfire emissions are fully represented, which can lead to temporary underestimation of PM₂.₅ concentrations in Airmine’s forecast.

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Data provided by Airmine — Last update: 9 August 2026 at 20:27 CEST (Data is updated four times daily.)

This forecast is produced independently using Airmine's own atmospheric data and models.

Unless explicitly made clear, the content on this site has not been paid for by external organisations and is Airmine's sole responsibility.

Disclaimer: Forecasts are provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as medical advice. Actual pollen and air quality conditions may vary from the forecast. If you have allergies, asthma, or another medical condition, consult a healthcare professional. Please see our Terms of Service for important information about limitations of liability.

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