Worst air pollution Merced, today and tomorrow

Today (15 July): Air quality in Merced is fair. PM2.5 and NO2 are fair; AQI and O3 are medium; PM10, SO2, CO, HCHO, and PM1 are good. Pollution peaks around 9:00 AM (O3: 45.8/100).
Tomorrow (16 July 2026): Air quality in Merced is fair. NO2 decreases to medium; PM1 increases to fair; all other pollutants stay as today. Pollution peaks around 9:00 AM (O3: 44.7/100). Airmine updates local air quality forecasts four times daily.

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Developed with support from the European Space Agency (ESA)’s Business Applications and Space Solutions (BASS) team

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Merced's air quality reflects the San Joaquin Valley's enclosed basin position, sharing the valley's persistent pollution trap between the Sierra Nevada and the Coast Range with the additional contribution of the surrounding Merced County dairy and almond farming operations generating agricultural emissions. Winter tule fog inversions trap vehicle and agricultural emissions, while the UC Merced campus and the Castle Air Force Base legacy contribute local sources, and summer ozone from the valley's combined vehicle and agricultural emissions is the primary warm-season concern.

Today - 15 July | Pollution peaks at 09:00

AQI:

Medium

45.8/100

PM2.5 (fine particles):

Fair

24.1/100

PM10 (coarse particles):

Good

15.5/100

NO2 (nitrogen dioxide):

Fair

30.0/100

O3 (ozone):

Medium

45.8/100

SO2 (sulfur dioxide):

Good

10.6/100

CO (carbon monoxide):

Good

0.0/100

HCHO (formaldehyde):

Good

2.6/100

PM1 (ultrafine particles):

Good

15.0/100

Levels show the poorest local air quality during the day

Tomorrow - 16 July | Pollution peaks at 09:00

AQI:

Medium

44.7/100

PM2.5 (fine particles):

Fair

30.6/100

PM10 (coarse particles):

Good

16.0/100

NO2 (nitrogen dioxide):

Medium

42.6/100

O3 (ozone):

Medium

44.7/100

SO2 (sulfur dioxide):

Good

10.1/100

CO (carbon monoxide):

Good

0.0/100

HCHO (formaldehyde):

Good

2.2/100

PM1 (ultrafine particles):

Fair

20.3/100

Pollen forecast in Merced

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Frequently Asked Questions

Is air quality bad in Merced right now?

On 15 July 2026, overall air quality in Merced is fair. NO2 is the main pollutant at 30.0/100. Pollution peaks around 9:00 AM (O3: 45.8/100).

Will air quality be worse tomorrow in Merced?

On 16 July 2026, air quality conditions in Merced will be similar to today, with PM2.5 forecast at fair at 30.6/100. Pollution peaks around 9:00 AM (O3: 44.7/100).

When is air pollution at its worst in Merced?

Merced sees air quality change through the year — winter rains provide the only real relief from an otherwise persistent haze, whereas summer and early autumn bring the highest ozone levels, and wildfire smoke can spike particulate readings sharply from August through October. The mountains ringing the basin can trap pollution close to the ground for days when winds are calm.

Are air quality levels in Merced based on measurements or forecasts?

It is forecasts derived by downscaling forecasts provided by EU’s Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) by taking into account local conditions such as traffic patterns. CAMS bases its forecast on satellite measurements of particles and chemical compounds in the atmosphere. Airmine’s services were developed with support from the European Space Agency (ESA)’s Business Applications and Space Solutions (BASS) team.

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Data provided by Airmine — Last update: 16 July 2026 at 10:33 CEST (Data is updated four times daily.)

This forecast is produced independently using Airmine's own atmospheric data and models.

Unless explicitly made clear, the content on this site has not been paid for by external organisations and is Airmine's sole responsibility.

For long term forecasts and maps, see the Airmine app