Worst air pollution Toluca, today and tomorrow
Today (9 August): Air quality in Toluca is very poor. AQI and PM10 are very poor; PM2.5 is poor; O3 is fair; NO2, SO2, CO, HCHO, and PM1 are good. Pollution peaks around 6:00 PM (PM10: 88.0/100).
Tomorrow (10 August 2026): Air quality in Toluca is poor. AQI improves to poor; PM2.5 decreases to medium; PM10 decreases to poor; O3 decreases to good; all other pollutants stay as today. Pollution peaks around 9:00 PM (PM10: 61.1/100). Airmine updates local air quality forecasts four times daily.
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Developed with support from the European Space Agency (ESA)’s Business Applications and Space Solutions (BASS) team
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Toluca's air quality reflects Mexico's highest major city at 2,660 metres in the Toluca Valley, with vehicle traffic on surrounding expressways and the automotive manufacturing — Toluca being Mexico's main car production hub — and industrial corridor generating elevated NOₓ. The extreme altitude amplifies photochemical ozone formation, while the enclosed valley topography creates concentration under inversions and Toluca generally maintains moderate to elevated Mexican highland industrial metropolitan readings throughout most of the year.
Today - 9 August | Pollution peaks at 18:00
AQI:
Very poor
88.0/100
PM2.5 (fine particles):
Poor
61.7/100
PM10 (coarse particles):
Very poor
88.0/100
NO2 (nitrogen dioxide):
Good
0.5/100
O3 (ozone):
Fair
20.5/100
SO2 (sulfur dioxide):
Good
1.5/100
CO (carbon monoxide):
Good
0.0/100
HCHO (formaldehyde):
Good
3.0/100
PM1 (ultrafine particles):
Good
14.6/100
Levels show the poorest local air quality during the day
Tomorrow - 10 August | Pollution peaks at 21:00
AQI:
Poor
61.1/100
PM2.5 (fine particles):
Medium
49.7/100
PM10 (coarse particles):
Poor
61.1/100
NO2 (nitrogen dioxide):
Good
0.4/100
O3 (ozone):
Good
18.8/100
SO2 (sulfur dioxide):
Good
1.3/100
CO (carbon monoxide):
Good
0.0/100
HCHO (formaldehyde):
Good
2.3/100
PM1 (ultrafine particles):
Good
11.9/100
Frequently Asked Questions
Is air quality bad in Toluca right now?
On 9 August 2026, overall air quality in Toluca is very poor. AQI is the main air quality indicator at 88.0/100. Pollution peaks around 6:00 PM (PM10: 88.0/100).
Will air quality be worse tomorrow in Toluca?
On 10 August 2026, air quality conditions in Toluca will be better than today, with AQI forecast at poor at 61.1/100. Pollution peaks around 9:00 PM (PM10: 61.1/100).
When is air pollution at its worst in Toluca?
Pollution in Toluca typically rises when road traffic, heavy industry such as steel, cement, or petrochemical processing, as well as light manufacturing combine, especially once temperature inversions set in over the valley. Topographic enclosure in the valley lets pollution accumulate rather than clear out. Dust carried on these winds adds substantially to particulate levels.
Are air quality levels in Toluca based on measurements or forecasts?
It is forecasts derived by downscaling forecasts provided by EU’s Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) by taking into account local conditions such as traffic patterns. CAMS bases its forecast on satellite measurements of particles and chemical compounds in the atmosphere. Airmine’s services were developed with support from the European Space Agency (ESA)’s Business Applications and Space Solutions (BASS) team.
Why doesn’t the forecast always reflect wildfire impacts?
Airmine’s forecast uses CAMS (Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service) as its background atmospheric model. While CAMS includes wildfire emissions, these are derived from satellite observations and are not available in real time. During rapidly evolving wildfire events, there may therefore be a delay before increased emissions are incorporated into the model. As a result, the forecast may temporarily underestimate PM₂.₅ and other pollutants associated with wildfire smoke.
During rapidly evolving wildfire events, CAMS may lag by approximately 1–2 days before increased wildfire emissions are fully represented, which can lead to temporary underestimation of PM₂.₅ concentrations in Airmine’s forecast.
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Data provided by Airmine — Last update: 9 August 2026 at 20:27 CEST (Data is updated four times daily.)
This forecast is produced independently using Airmine's own atmospheric data and models.
Unless explicitly made clear, the content on this site has not been paid for by external organisations and is Airmine's sole responsibility.
Disclaimer: Forecasts are provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as medical advice. Actual pollen and air quality conditions may vary from the forecast. If you have allergies, asthma, or another medical condition, consult a healthcare professional. Please see our Terms of Service for important information about limitations of liability.
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