Worst air pollution Pavlodar, today and tomorrow
Today (18 August): Air quality in Pavlodar is very poor. AQI and SO2 are very poor; PM2.5, O3, and PM1 are fair; NO2 is medium; PM10, CO, and HCHO are good. Pollution peaks around 11:00 AM (SO2: 98.9/100).
Tomorrow (19 August 2026): Air quality in Pavlodar is very poor. PM2.5 decreases to good; PM1 decreases to good; all other pollutants stay as today. Pollution peaks around 6:00 PM (SO2: 85.1/100). Airmine updates local air quality forecasts four times daily.
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Developed with support from the European Space Agency (ESA)’s Business Applications and Space Solutions (BASS) team
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Pavlodar's air quality reflects the flat Kazakhstan Irtysh River steppe plain at 125 metres, with vehicle traffic on surrounding roads and the aluminium smelting, oil refining, and chemical corridor generating elevated industrial PM2.5 and SO₂. The flat steppe allows some dispersal on windy days, while winter residential coal and gas heating under severe anticyclonic inversions extensively compounds industrial emissions and the aluminium smelting and refinery operations represent Pavlodar's most distinctive industrial air quality contribution throughout the year.
Today - 18 August | Pollution peaks at 11:00
AQI:
Very poor
98.9/100
PM2.5 (fine particles):
Fair
26.7/100
PM10 (coarse particles):
Good
7.5/100
NO2 (nitrogen dioxide):
Medium
45.1/100
O3 (ozone):
Fair
27.9/100
SO2 (sulfur dioxide):
Very poor
98.9/100
CO (carbon monoxide):
Good
0.0/100
HCHO (formaldehyde):
Good
1.9/100
PM1 (ultrafine particles):
Fair
32.2/100
Levels show the poorest local air quality during the day
Tomorrow - 19 August | Pollution peaks at 18:00
AQI:
Very poor
85.1/100
PM2.5 (fine particles):
Good
11.0/100
PM10 (coarse particles):
Good
3.0/100
NO2 (nitrogen dioxide):
Medium
59.4/100
O3 (ozone):
Fair
20.3/100
SO2 (sulfur dioxide):
Very poor
85.1/100
CO (carbon monoxide):
Good
0.0/100
HCHO (formaldehyde):
Good
1.5/100
PM1 (ultrafine particles):
Good
15.1/100
Frequently Asked Questions
Is air quality bad in Pavlodar right now?
On 18 August 2026, overall air quality in Pavlodar is very poor. AQI is the main air quality indicator at 98.9/100. Pollution peaks around 11:00 AM (SO2: 98.9/100).
Will air quality be worse tomorrow in Pavlodar?
On 19 August 2026, air quality conditions in Pavlodar will be similar to today, with AQI forecast at very poor at 85.1/100. Pollution peaks around 6:00 PM (SO2: 85.1/100).
When is air pollution at its worst in Pavlodar?
In Pavlodar, road traffic as well as heavy industry such as steel, cement, or petrochemical processing are the main local sources, with conditions worsening when dry spells bring strong winds. These wind events can carry dust in from the surrounding arid landscape. Coal and wood used for winter heating add substantially to particulate levels.
Are air quality levels in Pavlodar based on measurements or forecasts?
It is forecasts derived by downscaling forecasts provided by EU’s Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) by taking into account local conditions such as traffic patterns. CAMS bases its forecast on satellite measurements of particles and chemical compounds in the atmosphere. Airmine’s services were developed with support from the European Space Agency (ESA)’s Business Applications and Space Solutions (BASS) team.
Why doesn’t the forecast always reflect wildfire impacts?
Airmine’s forecast uses CAMS (Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service) as its background atmospheric model. While CAMS includes wildfire emissions, these are derived from satellite observations and are not available in real time. During rapidly evolving wildfire events, there may therefore be a delay before increased emissions are incorporated into the model. As a result, the forecast may temporarily underestimate PM₂.₅ and other pollutants associated with wildfire smoke.
During rapidly evolving wildfire events, CAMS may lag by approximately 1–2 days before increased wildfire emissions are fully represented, which can lead to temporary underestimation of PM₂.₅ concentrations in Airmine’s forecast.
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Data provided by Airmine — Last update: 18 August 2026 at 20:27 CEST (Data is updated four times daily.)
This forecast is produced independently using Airmine's own atmospheric data and models.
Unless explicitly made clear, the content on this site has not been paid for by external organisations and is Airmine's sole responsibility.
Disclaimer: Forecasts are provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as medical advice. Actual pollen and air quality conditions may vary from the forecast. If you have allergies, asthma, or another medical condition, consult a healthcare professional. Please see our Terms of Service for important information about limitations of liability.
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