Worst air pollution Victoria, today and tomorrow

On 9 August 2026, overall air quality in Victoria is fair. AQI is the main air quality indicator at 31.0/100. Pollution peaks around 3:00 AM (O3: 31.0/100).

On 10 August 2026, air quality conditions in Victoria will be similar to today, with AQI forecast at fair at 27.8/100. Pollution peaks around 10:00 AM (O3: 27.8/100).

Victoria's air quality varies through the year, influenced by its position on the southern tip of Vancouver Island, in the mountains' rain shadow. Persistent winter rain generally keeps pollution levels low, while dry summer stretches can bring some haze from traffic and, in smoky years, wildfires burning inland. Persistent onshore breezes off the Pacific generally keep pollutants from building up for long.

It is forecasts derived by downscaling forecasts provided by EU’s Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) by taking into account local conditions such as traffic patterns. CAMS bases its forecast on satellite measurements of particles and chemical compounds in the atmosphere. Airmine’s services were developed with support from the European Space Agency (ESA)’s Business Applications and Space Solutions (BASS) team.

Airmine’s forecast uses CAMS (Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service) as its background atmospheric model. While CAMS includes wildfire emissions, these are derived from satellite observations and are not available in real time. During rapidly evolving wildfire events, there may therefore be a delay before increased emissions are incorporated into the model. As a result, the forecast may temporarily underestimate PM₂.₅ and other pollutants associated with wildfire smoke.

During rapidly evolving wildfire events, CAMS may lag by approximately 1–2 days before increased wildfire emissions are fully represented, which can lead to temporary underestimation of PM₂.₅ concentrations in Airmine’s forecast.